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The Surprise In NY-23

Well, I had begun to assume a big Hoffman victory. Not so fast. Owens has a small but real lead, with over 60 percent of the votes in. More interesting, Palin just doesnt poll very well in a district that is almost tailor-made for her:43% view her favorably to 44% negative. This is in a poll with a party ID breakdown of R+14 that shows Doug Hoffman leading by 17 points. If Palins not popular in an electorate with that mix shes not going anywhere nationally.NY-23 is a district with an unusual nu....

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